My Lok Sabha Projections

Since this is season of electoral projections, thought why not me? Ok , actually I had done this exercise in Nov. I am not a psephologist, have no knowledge of statistical methods of predicting election outcomes. These projections are based on people I interacted with from various locations across India, between Sept to Nov. Also these are projections for  NDA which in Nov only meant BJP+ShivSena+Akali Dal.Interestingly my optimistic projections totalled to 272. That was just a coincidence :).

State Total Seats Likely Optimistic increment
Uttar Pradesh 80 35 10
Maharashtra 48 32 3
Andhra Pradesh 42 2 2
West Bengal 42 1 2
Bihar 40 20 5
Tamil Nadu 39 2 2
Madhya Pradesh 29 27
Karnataka 28 15 3
Gujarat 26 24
Rajasthan 25 23
Orissa 21 2 1
Kerala 20 1
Assam 14 4 2
Jharkhand 14 9 2
Punjab 13 8 2
Chhattisgarh 11 8 2
Haryana 10 5 2
Jammu and Kashmir 6 2
Uttarakhand 5 3 1
Himachal Pradesh 4 2
Arunachal Pradesh 2
Goa 2 2
Manipur 2
Meghalaya 2
Tripura 2
Mizoram 1
Nagaland 1
Sikkim 1
Delhi 7 5
Andaman and Nicobar Islands 1
Chandigarh 1
Dadra and Nagar Haveli 1 1
Daman and Diu 1
Lakshadweep 1
Pondicherry 1
Total 543 233 39
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